Competition: UEFA Nations League, League A, Group 2
Venue: Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
Kickoff: Friday, November 13, 2026, at 19:45 GMT (20:45 local time)
Verdict: Both teams to score
Best odds: 71/100
Bookmaker: 1xBet
Greece has already won in Belgrade and Augsburg. A third away victory on Friday would send Ivan Jovanović’s team into the Nations League quarterfinals and leave it alone at the top of Group A2. The Netherlands stands in the way. Both sides have eight points, Germany has five, and the Dutch still have a trip to Berlin on the final matchday.
Netherlands
Tijjani Reijnders changed both of the Netherlands’ October games. In Thessaloniki, Xavi Hernández brought him on at halftime with Greece leading 2-0. Virgil van Dijk pulled one back before Reijnders scored the equalizer in the 89th minute. Three days later in Eindhoven, it was Reijnders who picked out Joshua Zirkzee at the far post for the winner against Serbia.
That 2-1 win over Serbia also illustrated why the Dutch are a difficult team to back for a clean sheet. Just four minutes separated Teun Koopmeiners’ opener from Mihajlo Cvetković’s equalizer. Serbia had scored against the Netherlands in Belgrade a week earlier, and Germany also found the net in a 1-1 draw in Amsterdam. Across the four group games, the Dutch have scored seven and conceded five.
The pattern stretches back to the summer. Japan and Sweden both scored against the Netherlands at the World Cup, as did Tunisia in a 3-1 defeat. Morocco then scored in second-half stoppage time before eliminating the Dutch on penalties. That makes eight consecutive competitive matches in which both teams have scored.
Team news
Captain Virgil van Dijk and striker Brian Brobbey withdrew from the squad after the weekend’s club fixtures. Brentford defender Sepp van den Berg received his first senior call-up, while Micky van de Ven and Jan Paul van Hecke are among Xavi’s options in central defense.
Frenkie de Jong returns for the first time since the World Cup. His ability to carry the ball through midfield could be particularly valuable against a Greek side missing one of its regulars in the middle. Cody Gakpo and Donyell Malen are both available up front.
Greece
Greece won its two away games in quite different ways. In Belgrade, Jovanović’s side trailed from the fourth minute until Christos Tzolis equalized in the 74th. The winner came deep into stoppage time, when Kostas Tsimikas crossed for Tasos Douvikas to head in. Three days later in Augsburg, one goal from midfielder Dimitris Kourbelis was enough to beat Germany.
The first meeting with the Netherlands offers a clue to how Greece might approach Friday. Jovanović started Fotis Ioannidis alongside Vangelis Pavlidis, and Ioannidis opened the scoring after 23 minutes. Giorgos Masouras, an early substitute for Tzolis, added the second just before halftime. Those two goals came against a Dutch defense that still had its captain.
Greece also has the option of sitting deeper if the match stays level. A goalless draw with Germany in October gave goalkeeper Konstantinos Tzolakis a second clean sheet against the same opponent in eight days. With a home game against last-place Serbia still to come, Jovanović can afford to pick his moments to send players forward.
Team news
Midfielder Christos Zafeiris and right back Manolis Saliakas are suspended. Kourbelis is also a doubt after an ankle sprain and trained separately on Tuesday. If he misses out, Nectarios Triantis and Thanasis Androutsos are among the options to cover central midfield.
Tasos Bakasetas returns after missing the first four group matches. Pavlidis, Ioannidis, Tzolis and Douvikas have all been named in the November squad.
Key factors to consider
- Both teams have scored in the Netherlands’ last eight competitive matches.
- The Dutch have scored twice in each of their last three Nations League games.
- Greece has won both away games in the group, scoring three goals across the two fixtures.
- Five different players have scored Greece’s five group goals, including Ioannidis and Masouras in the 2-2 draw with the Netherlands.
Conclusion
Greece’s two clean sheets against Germany are the strongest argument against this pick. What tips the balance is the problem Reijnders poses for a depleted Greek midfield. He can arrive in the box himself or supply the final ball, and Greece has already seen how costly it can be to lose track of him late in a game. At the other end, Ioannidis and Pavlidis had success playing together against a Dutch back line that now has to manage without Van Dijk. We’re backing both sides to score in Amsterdam.
Verdict: Both teams to score
Best odds: 71/100
Bookmaker: 1xBet
